Moldova EU vote too close to call as president Sandu claims Moscow meddled

A referendum on Moldova's EU membership bid was too close to call on Monday morning, with the difference between "yes" and "no" votes counted in hundreds.

Although early preliminary counts showed Moldovans largely rejected the proposal to enshrine the eastern European country's EU path in its constitution, a boost of votes from Moldovans abroad gave the "yes" camp a much-expected boost.

According to the latest early count, the two camps were now firmly divided, with the difference between them at a mere 744 votes in favour.

Turnout for Sunday's vote surpassed 50%, much above the 33% needed for the referendum to be valid.

Moldova’s President Maia Sandu, who looked set to win the first round of a presidential race Monday, accused “criminal groups” of undermining a referendum asking voters to decide whether to secure a path toward EU membership, which risked being narrowly rejected.

In early October, Moldovan law enforcement said it had uncovered a massive vote-buying scheme orchestrated by Ilan Shor, an exiled pro-Russia oligarch who currently resides in Russia, which paid €15 million to 130,000 individuals to undermine the two ballots.

Shor was convicted in absentia last year and sentenced to 15 years in prison for fraud and money laundering in the case of nearly €1 billion that went missing from Moldovan banks in 2014. He denied the allegations, saying “the payments are legal,” and cited a right to freedom of expression. Shor’s populist Russia-friendly Shor Party was declared unconstitutional last year and banned.

On Thursday, Moldovan authorities foiled another plot in which more than 100 young Moldovans received training in Moscow from private military groups on how to create civil unrest around the two votes. Some also attended “more advanced training in guerrilla camps” in Serbia and Bosnia, police said, and four people were detained for 30 days.

A pro-Western government has been in power in Moldova since 2021, a year after Sandu won the presidency. A parliamentary election will be held next year.

Moldova, a former Soviet republic with a population of about 2.5 million, applied to join the EU in the wake of Russia’s all-out invasion of neighbouring Ukraine in early 2022 and was granted candidate status that summer alongside Ukraine. Brussels agreed in June to start membership negotiations.